December 26th, 2002, 11:51 pm
CCD, you can profit from a long basis trade, buy the asset swap and buy the Default Swap, so if you can get both the positions at those quotes, you can pocket 160+ bps per year. From the trend of this year, 160 bps basis is very high, it will almost surely revert to the average (around 50 bps). Since the credit spread tighten so much recently, it should start widen again, so you might want to overhedge a little bit by buying more CDS say 1.2:1.