February 3rd, 2008, 7:53 pm
> But I wonder how you will be able to calibrate it. <The calibration is a very interesting problem. The calibrations in the paper are based on simultaneously fitting currently observed option prices plus historical variance swap prices. The latter carry a lot of information about volatility-of-volatility and volatility-underlier correlation. My experience is that the Heston model has trouble reproducing it, especially for fx (Heston implied volatility-of-volatility was far above historical volatility-of-volatility at the time I was writing the paper). Of course this can get into technical question about mixing different measures (the model includes a market price of volatility risk to help address this) and practical questions about how much history to use, but if the fitted parameters vary a lot over short terms the model probably isn't useful except as a price-interpolator for vanilla products anyway.Before you ask, the market price of volatility risk is determined as part of the calibration by basically asserting a spread between future realized and implied variance as another simultaneous part of the fit, with the spread value being determined from historical studies or your favorite crystal ball.I've been toying with the idea of including two or more days of option prices in the fit. This means fitting all the deltas as well as the prices, which gives some more information on the asset dynamics. The variance swap prices only capture particular subsets of this, but very efficiently so you can use as much history as you think appropriate.If you send me an email address I'll forward the paper.Ron