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FX Option Implied Distribution

Posted: April 29th, 2009, 7:06 am
by sacevoy
anybody know a good paper or discussion on backing out FX option implied distributions from 10&25delta RR and Flys?I do it with equity index call quotes (after some interpolation considerations) using:P_implied(K,T)=exp(rT)*C''(K)My intuition suggests the same should be possible using RR and Flys for FX (perhaps even just Flys)any help appreciatedrgds

FX Option Implied Distribution

Posted: April 29th, 2009, 11:48 am
by mmar02
try Malz, A. M., 1997, “Estimating the Probability Distribution of the Future Exchange Rate from Option Prices,” The Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 5, pp. 18-36.

FX Option Implied Distribution

Posted: April 29th, 2009, 1:39 pm
by sacevoy
great thks ... just the thing