February 15th, 2010, 8:34 pm
What sort of market would favour neutrality? My answer is an efficient market in which prices match objective value. Since markets are not efficient, you should be able to improve on market neutrality by being neutral with regard to objective value. Since objective values are not known, that requires a model of market inefficiency in which one doesn't speculate about objective value per se (one is neutral with respect to them).This is a distinctly different approach from trying to model objective value directly -- which is what most punters do. So, mizhael, on that basis, I would suggest that if your model does better when market neutral, then you are not modeling inefficiency very well when you change your weights.
Last edited by
Fermion on February 14th, 2010, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.