June 3rd, 2010, 1:23 pm
Well pre-Libor/Euribor fixing that is equivalent to a 3m FX Swap plus a 0x3 FRA out of Today in both USD and EUR. Post-fixing it is just a 3m FX swap. So the answers to your question would be:1) the spread is equal to the difference of the implied EUR interest rates from the FX Swap, feeding in the USD and EUR FRA prices, prior to the fixing, and post-fixing, it is the difference between that implied EUR rate and the Euribor fixing, feeding in the Libor fixing. As the notionals have to be funded in the overnight FX Forward market you work out whatever USD funding you are getting (Fed Funds or whatever - see numerous discussions on Wilmott about this) and then use the market FX Swap prices in order to construct a EUR discount curve.2) As you point out, this is a basic building block of longer-tenor xccy basis swaps. A USD libor fixing surprise can effect this in terms of making short-term (sub-3m) USD rates move higher/lower (if the rate fixed higher than expected and the market worried about a squeeze on USD funding, it is likely that these sub-3m rates would move higher), but you have been "fixed" into the 3m FX Swap at a rate implied by where the fixings were plus the spread on the EUR leg. There is thus interest rate risk on the two currency legs and in the time it takes to do an offsetting 3m FX Swap to roll the notionals to the date of the next reset, you are exposed to market moves.