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banthony
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Joined: June 22nd, 2010, 1:50 pm

Using ADF for short-term mean revision

July 8th, 2010, 9:24 pm

Sorry to repost, but I didn't get any replies in the Numerical Methods sectionI've been working on a short-term mean revision strategy (approx 5 min) for a pair of US equities, and I'm wondering if ADF is used to trade pairs on an intra-day basis. I've calculated the ADF statistic to be -3.471 based on daily closing prices of the previous 12 months, but I'm not sure how that translates to this strategy - meaning which days are better than others. I've also calculated the ADF on an intra-day basis by using the 1-minute VWAPs of the two stocks, but I haven't seen any usable patterns (no signs of trending cointegration).Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated.
 
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pbharrin
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Joined: August 20th, 2010, 6:13 pm

Using ADF for short-term mean revision

September 13th, 2010, 12:42 am

-3.4 is not a very good score if you have 1 year of daily data. I suggest you look for pairs with lower ADF scores.