Price Option Price in practical measure with Monte Carlo Simulation
Posted: April 18th, 2015, 1:37 am
Hi, Dear all, As for a simple European Call option, the price of the option should be: OptionPrice = exp(-rT)(max(P(t) - K, 0)),where K the the strike price, and P(t) is the price of the underlying stock at time T,and r is the risk-free rate. To price this option with Monte Carlo Simulation, under BS assumptions, we assume the underlying price follows log normal distribution, then we use Monte Carlo Simulation to simulate the stock price and calculate the expected payoff. However, I want to price the option price under the practical measure( I mean not in the risk-free / risk neutral measure), then in 'my' option, now, the expected return of the underlying stock is R, (which is not the risk-free rate), then I replace r with R in the log normal distribution to simulate the underlying price, finally, I calculate the option price with the same method discussed above. Now, I concern about the method I 'used' to price the option in practical measure is correct in theory? If it is not, please tell me why and are there some good ideas to price an option in practical measure?Thanks.