October 16th, 2015, 8:28 am
i think that's right. although you could get the market's expectations of short-term inflation by looking at the prices of TIPS with shorter maturities i.e. say a 10y TIP issued in 2007 about to mature in 2017 would give you the expectation about 2 year inflation. have a look below from the WSJ 2016 Jan 15 2.000 99.27 99.29 + 2 2.345 12012016 Apr 15 0.125 99.04 99.06 + 1 1.805 10802016 Jul 15 2.500 101.22 101.24 + 2 0.166 11802017 Jan 15 2.375 102.26 102.28 unch. 0.062 11822017 Apr 15 0.125 99.27 99.29 unch. 0.188 10502017 Jul 15 2.625 104.28 104.30 - 1 -0.186 11502018 Jan 15 1.625 103.26 103.28 - 1 -0.097 11382018 Apr 15 0.125 100.08 100.10 - 1 -0.003 10312018 Jul 15 1.375 104.11 104.13 - 2 -0.226 11052019 Jan 15 2.125 106.30 107.00 - 4 -0.034 11102019 Apr 15 0.125 100.07 100.09 - 3 0.047 10172019 Jul 15 1.875 107.10 107.12 - 4 -0.091 1116
Last edited by
daveangel on October 15th, 2015, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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