there was an odd statement by one of the europeans the other day
Mr Tusk said: "European Council agrees with UK government that highly likely Russia is responsible for Salisbury attack and that there is no other plausible explanation."
I wonder what Donald Tusk means when he uses that
in one study, researchers asked nato officers how they interpreted various estimations of likelihood, and "highly likely" ranged from below 50% to what, 93%
Here's how people view the difference between something being 'highly likely' and it being just 'probable'
I'd like to see a number, the probability that Russia did this is X%
I'll repost something I posted in the UK going to the dogs thread last week
At one point they were "convinced" (probability 100%?) that the nerve agent was in the daughter's luggage, yet later they put out a different theory
While we're here, "plausible" (also used by Donald Tusk) evidently means "(of an argument or statement) seeming reasonable or probable."
If "plausible" means "probable" and "probable" means [$]>50\%[$] (or does it??) then there can never be more than one "plausible" explanation.
What's the current scenario, the agent and his daughter are sitting in their car at a stop light when the locks click shut and a cloud of white gas comes out of the vents? I've seen that in a Bond movie, but I'm not sure that it's reasonable or probable