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by Swing
February 24th, 2014, 6:34 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation
Replies: 8
Views: 6204

Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation

Thanks quartzThere was an error in the generation of the sobol sequences, my bad..
by Swing
February 24th, 2014, 3:21 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation
Replies: 8
Views: 6204

Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation

Any help about the difference between the results with Sobol sequences and Pseud-randoms ?
by Swing
February 24th, 2014, 1:24 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation
Replies: 8
Views: 6204

Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation

Thanks Chewwy, I'll check this out !
by Swing
February 24th, 2014, 1:11 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation
Replies: 8
Views: 6204

Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation

I have a pretty akward result, I'm getting different levels of VaR with Sobol sequences (-220kUSD) and with pseudo-random numbers (-310KUSD)Do you please see any possible explanation for this..Thanks.
by Swing
February 24th, 2014, 9:46 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation
Replies: 8
Views: 6204

Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation

Hi,Could you please explain more your idea?Thanks
by Swing
February 23rd, 2014, 4:09 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation
Replies: 8
Views: 6204

Monte Carlo VaR Error of estimation

<t>Hello,OK this might be a quite simple question for you...I'm performing a monte carlo to calculate value at risk (with a 3 dimension risk factor)Now, I would like to calculate the error of the estimation of the VaR with respect to the number of simulations (drawing a graph of estimation error wrt...
by Swing
March 7th, 2013, 10:48 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo Pb
Replies: 9
Views: 9695

Monte Carlo Pb

by Swing
March 6th, 2013, 5:20 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo Pb
Replies: 9
Views: 9695

Monte Carlo Pb

by Swing
March 3rd, 2013, 7:32 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo Pb
Replies: 9
Views: 9695

Monte Carlo Pb

Hello guys,frenshX I creat my paths using: dX= K*(Theta-Path(j-1))*dt + Sigma*RandomNumber; Path(j)= Paths(j-1) + dX;
by Swing
February 21st, 2013, 5:43 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo Pb
Replies: 9
Views: 9695

Monte Carlo Pb

You think I should put constrains on the matrix K when maximizing the log likelihood of the parameters (K, sigma, theta, lambda) ? (I use the matlab function fminsearch)Thanks.
by Swing
February 21st, 2013, 4:03 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo Pb
Replies: 9
Views: 9695

Monte Carlo Pb

<r>Thanks FrenchX for your reply, but apparently the mean reversion matrix can hold negative values In this paper (page 19): <URL url="http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/papers/paper78/cdr.pdf"><LINK_TEXT text="http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/pape ... 78/cdr.pdf">http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebol...
by Swing
February 20th, 2013, 3:27 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Monte Carlo Pb
Replies: 9
Views: 9695

Monte Carlo Pb

<t>Hello,I'm working on a three factor affine model (interest rates), while running monte carlo simulation to estimates the factors, I get weird values, they explode in time.I have a mean reversion matrix like this: K = -0.5640 -0.2851 -0.1757 5.2495 4.0835 0.1250 -5.5287 -5.0019 -0.0661Could it be ...
by Swing
January 2nd, 2013, 11:50 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Kalman Filter for Arbitrage Free Nelson Siegel
Replies: 2
Views: 10039

Kalman Filter for Arbitrage Free Nelson Siegel

Thanks Weare, i'll look at it
by Swing
December 28th, 2012, 2:08 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Kalman Filter for Arbitrage Free Nelson Siegel
Replies: 2
Views: 10039

Kalman Filter for Arbitrage Free Nelson Siegel

<r>Hello everybody,I'm trying to calibrate AFNS model (christensen, Diebold 2011)<URL url="http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/papers/paper78/cdr.pdfMeasurement"><LINK_TEXT text="http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/pape ... easurement">http://www.ssc.upenn.edu/~fdiebold/papers/paper78/cdr.pdfMeasureme...
by Swing
June 27th, 2012, 1:50 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Pricing of Loans Prepayment Options
Replies: 3
Views: 12403

Pricing of Loans Prepayment Options

Any help please?
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