December 17th, 2023, 5:19 am
Yes, they'll match up closely near the at-the-money strikes. They'll match up exactly at the special strike in the VIX white paper which generates the forward price.
Having said that, it's probably not too useful to think about arbitrage in terms of IV's. What matters for arbitrage are the tradeable prices (bid and ask).
So, you can buy the stock, sell a call (at the bid) and buy a put (at the ask). It's a synthetic money market position. Is it worth it? Or, reverse the trades and get a synthetic borrowing. Is it a good rate?