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SPAAGG
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Posts: 3
Joined: March 21st, 2003, 1:31 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 12th, 2004, 1:21 pm

Hi !I think that Monte-Carlo methods are used in derivatives pricing and for risk management purpose (like generalized scenario). In which financial fields can we also find Monte-Carlo methods ?What would be a research's field related to Monte-Carlo ?Thanks for your answers!
 
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Aaron
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Joined: July 23rd, 2001, 3:46 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 12th, 2004, 1:28 pm

Monte Carlo methods are used in almost all computationally intensive fields. You have identified the main two in finance: pricing and risk management.Are you interested in research improving Monte Carlo methods? There are interesting questions about quasi-MC, high dimensionality MC, efficient algorithms and defects. Or are you interesting in applying MC to new financial fields? I don't know of any virgin territory, but there is a lot to learn by applying known methods to common problems.
 
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ppauper
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Joined: November 15th, 2001, 1:29 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 12th, 2004, 1:41 pm

Last edited by ppauper on December 12th, 2004, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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pjotr314
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Joined: September 4th, 2003, 6:25 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 12th, 2004, 6:00 pm

If you want to find out about MC methods in finance, especially for pricing American options, take a look at the book "Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering" by Paul Glasserman. It is really good.
 
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Gmike2000
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Joined: September 25th, 2003, 9:49 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 12th, 2004, 8:17 pm

Regarding MC and american options.....check out longstaff's paper on least squares monte carlo. Simple, but kick ass. Can use easily on bermuda swaptions...this is the latest, and for a long time also the last, word on MC for american options. Has gone largely unnoticed which i do not understand.
 
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pjotr314
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Joined: September 4th, 2003, 6:25 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 13th, 2004, 6:39 am

yes, Longstaff's and Schwartz' regression method kick ass. It is in the book and is also compared with the other MC methods for pricing American options. My questions are:How much is MC methods (like the LSM) used in the marked to price Am options? Are all the methods used or are trees most used?
 
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spursfan
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Joined: October 7th, 2001, 3:43 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 13th, 2004, 9:06 am

the last word on monte carlo for standard american options - don't even bother - trees have a much better speed/accuracy trade-off
 
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pjotr314
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Joined: September 4th, 2003, 6:25 pm

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 13th, 2004, 9:31 am

yes, of course for standard American optios. But MC methods are better for higher dimensional option contracts (with burn-in time etc).
 
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Garywind
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Joined: July 30th, 2002, 1:25 am

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 16th, 2004, 8:36 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: AaronMonte Carlo methods are used in almost all computationally intensive fields. You have identified the main two in finance: pricing and risk management.Are you interested in research improving Monte Carlo methods? There are interesting questions about quasi-MC, high dimensionality MC, efficient algorithms and defects. Or are you interesting in applying MC to new financial fields? I don't know of any virgin territory, but there is a lot to learn by applying known methods to common problems.Could you please suggest some common problems except pricing American option? Garywind
 
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tabris
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Joined: November 11th, 2003, 12:43 am

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 16th, 2004, 10:09 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: GarywindQuoteOriginally posted by: AaronMonte Carlo methods are used in almost all computationally intensive fields. You have identified the main two in finance: pricing and risk management.Are you interested in research improving Monte Carlo methods? There are interesting questions about quasi-MC, high dimensionality MC, efficient algorithms and defects. Or are you interesting in applying MC to new financial fields? I don't know of any virgin territory, but there is a lot to learn by applying known methods to common problems.Could you please suggest some common problems except pricing American option? GarywindJust to name a few:Speed and effectiveness in pricing and variance reduction will always remain a huge issue. Such is the research of FFT, FGT, and wavelets application in pricing for speed and efficiency.Somewhat related to monte carlo is the problem of generating multi-dimensional random numbers quick and accurately.Similar to American option (optimal exercise problems), Prepayment speeds (optimal point for refi) of Mortgages is still an on-going research.
 
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Garywind
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Joined: July 30th, 2002, 1:25 am

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 20th, 2004, 12:08 am

Hi tabris,Thank you very much. I am going to have look on these topics.Gary
 
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Pat
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Joined: September 30th, 2001, 2:08 am

Monte-Carlo in the future ?

January 20th, 2004, 7:24 pm

Wouldn't research in how to avoid using MC techniques be more to the point? MC's speed and accuracy (let alone greek's) are incredibly bad