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Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 12th, 2004, 1:21 pm
by SPAAGG
Hi !I think that Monte-Carlo methods are used in derivatives pricing and for risk management purpose (like generalized scenario). In which financial fields can we also find Monte-Carlo methods ?What would be a research's field related to Monte-Carlo ?Thanks for your answers!
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 12th, 2004, 1:28 pm
by Aaron
Monte Carlo methods are used in almost all computationally intensive fields. You have identified the main two in finance: pricing and risk management.Are you interested in research improving Monte Carlo methods? There are interesting questions about quasi-MC, high dimensionality MC, efficient algorithms and defects. Or are you interesting in applying MC to new financial fields? I don't know of any virgin territory, but there is a lot to learn by applying known methods to common problems.
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 12th, 2004, 1:41 pm
by ppauper
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 12th, 2004, 6:00 pm
by pjotr314
If you want to find out about MC methods in finance, especially for pricing American options, take a look at the book "Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering" by Paul Glasserman. It is really good.
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 12th, 2004, 8:17 pm
by Gmike2000
Regarding MC and american options.....check out longstaff's paper on least squares monte carlo. Simple, but kick ass. Can use easily on bermuda swaptions...this is the latest, and for a long time also the last, word on MC for american options. Has gone largely unnoticed which i do not understand.
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 13th, 2004, 6:39 am
by pjotr314
yes, Longstaff's and Schwartz' regression method kick ass. It is in the book and is also compared with the other MC methods for pricing American options. My questions are:How much is MC methods (like the LSM) used in the marked to price Am options? Are all the methods used or are trees most used?
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 13th, 2004, 9:06 am
by spursfan
the last word on monte carlo for standard american options - don't even bother - trees have a much better speed/accuracy trade-off
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 13th, 2004, 9:31 am
by pjotr314
yes, of course for standard American optios. But MC methods are better for higher dimensional option contracts (with burn-in time etc).
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 16th, 2004, 8:36 pm
by Garywind
QuoteOriginally posted by: AaronMonte Carlo methods are used in almost all computationally intensive fields. You have identified the main two in finance: pricing and risk management.Are you interested in research improving Monte Carlo methods? There are interesting questions about quasi-MC, high dimensionality MC, efficient algorithms and defects. Or are you interesting in applying MC to new financial fields? I don't know of any virgin territory, but there is a lot to learn by applying known methods to common problems.Could you please suggest some common problems except pricing American option? Garywind
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 16th, 2004, 10:09 pm
by tabris
QuoteOriginally posted by: GarywindQuoteOriginally posted by: AaronMonte Carlo methods are used in almost all computationally intensive fields. You have identified the main two in finance: pricing and risk management.Are you interested in research improving Monte Carlo methods? There are interesting questions about quasi-MC, high dimensionality MC, efficient algorithms and defects. Or are you interesting in applying MC to new financial fields? I don't know of any virgin territory, but there is a lot to learn by applying known methods to common problems.Could you please suggest some common problems except pricing American option? GarywindJust to name a few:Speed and effectiveness in pricing and variance reduction will always remain a huge issue. Such is the research of FFT, FGT, and wavelets application in pricing for speed and efficiency.Somewhat related to monte carlo is the problem of generating multi-dimensional random numbers quick and accurately.Similar to American option (optimal exercise problems), Prepayment speeds (optimal point for refi) of Mortgages is still an on-going research.
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 20th, 2004, 12:08 am
by Garywind
Hi tabris,Thank you very much. I am going to have look on these topics.Gary
Monte-Carlo in the future ?
Posted: January 20th, 2004, 7:24 pm
by Pat
Wouldn't research in how to avoid using MC techniques be more to the point? MC's speed and accuracy (let alone greek's) are incredibly bad