January 20th, 2004, 2:05 pm
point of cmds is to trade the spread without the credit carry... i.e. I can quote 5y cds all day long, but after I do a trade, I'll have to quote 4.99y cds as well... seems a bit inconvenient from a mathematical pov, right? probably people push this as a way to get set up for spread options, for the same reason...and for banks who made loans to companies, there isn't any reason for their hedge to expire - the only reason would be for 'real leverage dynamics', which aren't that well understood. What I mean is that maybe the company pays down their loan, but they do that by issuing bonds most of the time (i.e. the bank has the opportunity to 'reinvest' in their spread exposure). But you see my point - the real CMDS spread driver will be things like going IPO, company takes a big hit to equity, new leveraging with CP or bond issuance, and not market technicals. but still I don't see a big market. What you read when you first studied CDS was that it was a silver bullet. It wasn't (but that's not advertised!) People are still trying to figure out what the right thing to trade really is. Still struggling away, yes..
Last edited by
kr on January 19th, 2004, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.