Serving the Quantitative Finance Community

 
User avatar
J
Topic Author
Posts: 1
Joined: November 1st, 2001, 12:53 am

papers for simulation of rare events

May 7th, 2004, 11:32 pm

any one familar with this topic? pls share your ideas.
 
User avatar
Aaron
Posts: 4
Joined: July 23rd, 2001, 3:46 pm

papers for simulation of rare events

May 8th, 2004, 1:56 am

I have written the ultimate simulator of rare events program. It runs on a rock.I'm not sure what you mean. You simulate rare events by picking a low probability of occurence. The trouble with rare events is not simulating them, it's estimating their probability and measuring other characteristics.
 
User avatar
SPAAGG
Posts: 3
Joined: March 21st, 2003, 1:31 pm

papers for simulation of rare events

May 8th, 2004, 8:40 am

Check Paul Glasserman webpage. I think he has developped smthing which is related to the MC simulation of rare events... not sure.Try also insurance webpage, like at ETH Zürich. YOu'll probably find smthing theregood luck
 
User avatar
Nonius
Posts: 0
Joined: January 22nd, 2003, 6:48 am

papers for simulation of rare events

May 8th, 2004, 2:45 pm

My bro J, you could do what I do.....I draw from the following distribution....pick a random post of someone like MikeBell. If I find a word that is mildly related to finance, I shock all market parameters by 80%. I have proposed this as a stress test to executive management, and they are pretty much ok with it.
 
User avatar
cekpet
Posts: 0
Joined: July 14th, 2002, 3:00 am

papers for simulation of rare events

May 11th, 2004, 5:56 pm

 
User avatar
ClosetChartist
Posts: 0
Joined: July 17th, 2003, 4:41 pm

papers for simulation of rare events

May 12th, 2004, 12:28 pm

Embrechts, Kluppelberg, and Mikosch "Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance".