May 22nd, 2004, 11:11 am
(a) Pin risk has a specific, and a more general meaning.Specifically, it refers to the assignment process for exchange traded options. Suppose you are short a call, and just before expiry, the future is 'pinned' to the strike. you are not sure if you will be exerciesd or not. at (or just before) expiry, the longs have to notify the exchange of their intention to exercise. there is then a lag as the exchange assigns these contracts between the shorts, your clearer is notified, and your clearer notifies you. in the meantime, ther mkt is moving, and you do not know what to do, as you are unsure of your position (whether you've been exercised fully, partially or not at all).If you have a conversion or reversal, its even more complex, cos you have to decide whether to exercise your long, and your optimal decision is driven to a large degree by what you think your counterparty holding the other leg is going to do.so it gets a bit messy - thats pin risk. particularly annoying if you've done a conversion / reversal precisely to square off risk, and here you are, left with a f**kup at expiry.more generally, pin risk is often used to denote the uncertainty related to expiry, where the option is expiring close to ATM.(b) I don't think pin risk is amenable to calculation, although on exchange, some exchanges may be better than others at mitigating pin risk by timely information disemmination.(c) pin risk can be acute for barrier options, where the barrier is close to being triggered. think of a scenario where the underlying is hovering just below an up-and-out barrier, with 1 minute till expiry. Nightmare.