June 1st, 2004, 1:52 am
There's nothing inherently implausible about a negative volatility risk premium. However, I don't think enough is understood about stochastic volatility, or indeed implied versus actual volatility, to start pricing volatility risk. As far as I know, only a few people have picked up on this area of research, and it has yet to yield practical results. It may turn out to be productive, either in theory or in practice or both.