November 10th, 2004, 7:16 pm
My guess is that you are slow. It's just a matter of time, until you develop an efficient way to think about the big picture. Really, the big picture is just a cartoon, and if you try to see it as a realist in all it's detail, you will be overwhelmed.When you read a book, do you notice the color of the lines around the pictures, the letters in each word, the shape of the paragraph formatting? No, you just try to get a simple impression, a single idea.Similarly, the world of trading is just a big crowd of parrots all shouting what the other guy is shouting. "The Fed is raising, the Fed is easing, if the payroll number is flat, the Fed will pause. China is coming."Refco's Andy Priston was interviewed on television yesterday. Asked what it took to make millions, he said you have to know what moves the markets. In other words, you just have to know what will trigger people to buy or sell.It's very superficial and simplified! Because as a Wall-Street trader, you are just an extension of clients. If they are buying a lot tomorrow, you are buying a little bit now to front-run them. You are faciliating their speculating.By the time they enter the unknown land of the future where buyers are supposed to appear to take their positions, your long position will be long gone. They carry positions great distances, you just help them load the truck.