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wstguru
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Joined: July 8th, 2004, 8:57 am

correlation

December 6th, 2004, 9:14 am

Hi, if u have two credits with respective default probabilities p1 & p2, what's the expression for the correlationbetween the indicator functions of the two default events?thanks
 
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wstguru
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Joined: July 8th, 2004, 8:57 am

correlation

December 6th, 2004, 5:04 pm

come on guys, that's an easy one!
 
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epiccn
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Joined: November 27th, 2004, 7:26 pm

correlation

December 7th, 2004, 7:30 pm

hey, do you know the answer or not?
Last edited by epiccn on December 6th, 2004, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
 
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Aaron
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Joined: July 23rd, 2001, 3:46 pm

correlation

December 8th, 2004, 3:00 am

This follows directly from the definition of basic statistical functions.Variance(X) = E(X^2) - E(X)E(X)Covariance(X,Y) = E(XY) - E(X)E(Y)Correlation(X,Y) = Covariance(X,Y)/[Variance(X)*Variance(Y)]^0.5For an indicator variable, E(X) = E(X^2) = p. E(XY) is just the joint probability of X and Y both being 1. So if p12 is the probability of joint default, the correlation coefficient is:(p12 - p1*p2)/[(p1 - p1^2)(p2 - p2^2)]^0.5= (p12 - p1*p2)/[p1*p2*(1-p1)*(1-p2)]^0.5