January 7th, 2005, 1:54 pm
I would probably start by searching these forums for "mean reversion calibration" as I recall seeing many threads dealing with this over the past few years. Dixit and Pindyck also discuss methods in their "Investment Under Uncertainty". I also recall seeing many articles related ot calibrating mean reversion parameters written by Clewlow and Strickland, primarily for the commodity sector. Try googling "Clewlow Strickland Mean Reversion" and I think you will have some luck. Generally, regression is a good start, but other methods like MLE can yield better estimates.