November 7th, 2013, 12:27 pm
Dear Clopinette,Thanks for your explanation, may i ask you some more questions?Now, i am trying to calculate the exposure of the swaps(many swaps), and i want to price these swaps now and also estimate their potenial exposure(some swaps started several years ago and some are forward swaps). The swaps maturity could last from one year to 30 years.If i want to use the hull white 1 factor model to simulate the interest rates, what kind of market instruments should i use to calibrate the parameters of the hull white 1 factor model? Caps/floors or swaption?If we use the caps for calibration(i suppose it is more reasonable than swaption,right?), what kind of caps should we use? Should we use the parameters from calibrating the short maturity caps to price the short maturity swaps, and also the same principle apply to those with long maturity?Even if so, still, Should i only use the at the money caps or i also need to use the quotes of in the money and out of the money?Is it sound to assume the alpha and sigma(mean reversion rate and volatility) to be constant? if it is more reasonable to make them function of time, then how should we estimate them?How to deal with the negative rates when simulating?So many questions!!! Hope to hear from you soon.Any comments is welcome.Thank you all in advance. QuoteOriginally posted by: Clopinetterplat,Neither caps or swaption is best. In principle you calibrate your model to the liquid products of the market that are relevent to your problem. Example 1:You are pricing an non-callable exotic which payoff is Libor based with coupon capped/floored.You will hedge yourself with swaps, caps and floors==> you will calibrate the drift on the yield curve and the volatility on the cap vols.The mean reversion will not impact your price.Example 2:You are pricing a bermudean swaptionYou will hedge yourself with swaptions so you calibrate on the relevent ones.Try to use the mean reversion to create some decorrelation.Example 3:You are pricing the exotic of example 1 but in a callable version.The 1F model is not adequate in this case as it will misprice the part of your hedge you could not use for the calibration.