November 4th, 2001, 2:04 am
An admittedly biased set of opinions, but ...a. In the interests of being creative (i.e., not getting bored), I would tend to steer clear of vanilla fixed income derivatives (except in the high-yield area), since the forward curve has been beaten to death as a research topic. It's a bit like having legions of mathematicians look at Schroedinger's equation and make incrementally better estimates, which may be useful in physics but not really in finance. You don't need to get the price right to E-10, unless you are trading a 10 million lot of something ... .b. Naturally, equity stuff is less analytical, since the market is more heterogeneous and the relationships are weaker and more idiosyncratic. c. Exotics used to be the way to go (people didn't have a handle on pricing convertible bonds, barriers, etc.) but valuations are fairly good now and more emphasis is placed on getting the inputs right.d. Maybe risk management is a good area to look at, with people trying to get a grip on extremal events and things. However, I'm too ignorant to comment on that.Hari