June 29th, 2005, 8:37 am
I guess I had hoped that there was a different strategy involving only options and stock, similar to the var swap. I am not disappointed in the person doing the calculation, just disappointed in the answer!The philosophy of this strategy is that a log forward contains all the moment swaps, and so you never really synthesize a moment swap. You only ever synthesize a derivative which contains all the moment swaps up to inifinity, aside from those that you have hedged out! And so you simply round down all the higher order moments to zero. Thus, the log-forward strategy used to create a var swap, actually doesn't create a pure var swap. It creates an infinite series of moment swaps, each higher order moment swap being smaller by roughly a factor of sigma. This tells me that var swaps on 100% volatility underlyings probably are priced incorrectly, as sigma is of order 1, and the pricing mechanism is based on the log-forward contract. Thus if you go long a var swap on a 100% vol underlying, you are actually paying for var, skew, kurtosis, pentosis , and higher order swaps, but you are only getting a var swap.Hmmm....