October 21st, 2002, 4:47 pm
It's not too hard to design high-frequency trend trading systems that break even after spreads and commissions. Instead of buying every uptick, and selling every downtick - which would run up about 10 million spread-sized losses in 30 minutes - you develop some mechanical rules for indentifying microtrends.In most situations in the S&P futures, for instance, an uptick at 945.25 will be followed by a downtick at 945.00, where the spread is frozen at this awkward quarter for some fleeting moment. Generally, as a trend piker, you don't want to buy the until the offer races down to 1 last contract, and you are sure it is about to be the bid.I imagine that giving yourself a gamma exposure is, from a mathematical point of view, the same as tweaking the probability the offer is about to become the bid, since you will lose money in the option position. Or, you just increase your utility for breaking even or something. If I had ever hedged an option, I might know something.MP