February 7th, 2006, 7:29 am
I think he said X,Y,Z ~ N(a,b), not N(0,1)As the underliers, X, Y and Z, are uncorrelated i.i.d. random normals, each with the same N(a,b) distribution each payoff max(T,-1) will have the payoff shape of a call struck at -1. Summing the expectations and variances and taking the expectation of your new distribution conditional upon greater than zero might work? EDIT: Quantworm, there is an analytic solution for N of these X,Y,Z variables. If you set a = 0.2, b = 6 (b is variance, not stdev) then the expected payoff is ~2.55. have checked it using Monte Carlo too. Just follow the initial thoughts I had above to get to the solution.J
Last edited by
mutley on February 8th, 2006, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.