May 27th, 2007, 8:20 am
hi mattcmtin general, option prices just are what they are, similarly to the way that a stock price should be the sum of all its discounted future earnings, but nobody really uses this to value a stock. working slightly back to front, given an option price, a trader can work out what the volatility should be in the Black & Scholes formula that will give the correct option price. This is called the *implied* volatility and is closer to what traders do in practice; looking at the volatility as an alternative measure of price. this allows them to compare the relative prices of options of different maturity, where the dollar prices would not be directly comparable.problem is that often, options with different maturities or strikes give different implied volatilities. this contradicts the Black/Scholes assumption of constant volatility; the volatility of the same stock cannot be constant but different for different options!the range of implied volatilities across different strikes & maturities is called the implied volatilty surface. there are different ways to modify the model to attempt to account for this, such as allowing the volatility to change depending on time and on the level of the underlying stock, or as quantwanabe mentioned, to make it stochastic. these ways tend not to give nice pricing formulas though; they have to be solved by numerical computations.
Last edited by
samyonez on May 26th, 2007, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.