July 10th, 2007, 3:34 am
If I recall correctly, IBES is now part of Thomson Financial and their data should be the same as First Calls. The adjustments that IBES or First Calls make are necessary to make the estimates by different analysts comparable. Also, adjustments are made to try and make things much more consistent (I believe they account for stock splits) but there are indeed a lot of errors. There is probably no better source though, which is why they can get away with it. My understanding of First Calls is that analysts upload their data to the site, which gives it a date and time stamp. You can actually get the different estimates by analysts with date and time stamps but you have to clean the data to get what you want. IBES, on the other hand, is an estimate made "somewhere in the middle of the month" - whatever that means. So, if you wanted to make assumptions, there is a wide range of possible dates where the previous IBES estimate could still hold and it is not the same every month.As for Reuters, their service is called Multex. Multex provides a similar service to First Call, but is not as popular. The consensus estimates are also done in a similar fashion. As for accuracy, I think they are all the same - there's not much we can do about it though.