May 24th, 2010, 6:33 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: islingtonOk, so if the company cannot pay if the sovereign paper defaults it just means that the risks are correlated. But the CDS hedges you against the company default. If it is written in local currency then you have a funny contingent FX risk which you may proxy hedge with a sovereign CDS, but you are not exposed to sovereign credit risk.The correlation argument would make you buy index puts on top of single stock puts because 'there is no way the stock won't go south when the market drops'.The premium you pay for the swap on the automaker's debt is compensating the counterparty for facing systematic risk. That is the same risk you'd face when holding sovereign debt, though default on the latter would have far more systemic impact. CDS on an italian automarker is implicitly pricing in the possibility of italy defaulting, there's really no sense in adding anything on top of that (assuming FX exposure is hedged)... unless you'd want to hedge your counterparty exposure in case of a sovereign default (i.e. the person selling you the swaps will fold if italy defaults).
Last edited by
halik on May 23rd, 2010, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.