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ewimp
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Joined: August 17th, 2008, 3:49 am

calibrate term structure model

July 28th, 2010, 7:51 am

Hello, I would like to calibrate a term structure model e.g. Vasicek to market data. I see a lot of people use time series data and do a parameter estimation.But what is wrong with just taking a cross section of option prices and minimising square errors using fminsearch in Matlab?Would anybody know please?
 
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eh
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Joined: March 2nd, 2010, 9:26 am

calibrate term structure model

July 28th, 2010, 11:15 am

Whether you calibrate to time series data or option/swaption prices depends on what you are using the model for. Calibrate to options for pricing, calibrate to time series for trading.
 
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ewimp
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Joined: August 17th, 2008, 3:49 am

calibrate term structure model

July 28th, 2010, 1:36 pm

Thanks, that makes sense. I was confused by the idea of miss-specified models and having multiple parameter selections that could give you the same squared-error. I thought maybe that parameter estimation using a time-series (as apposed to a calibration to a cross section) solved this problem. I was just reading Cont-Tankov though and chapter 13 has put some of my fears to rest.I think minimising squared errors is OK (obviously your parameters will be risk-neutral and not suitable for trading) but you need to be careful about local minimums. This is something I have to think about then.