March 13th, 2012, 5:22 pm
Yeah, even apart from the question of whether the past has any implication for the future, performance measurement is quite an involved subject, certainly never captured by a single number.There are various ways of measuring returns: time-weighted vs. internal rate of returnThere are issues of annualization, compounding, averaging, and selection of time horizons. There are various ways of measuring risk: std. deviation, semi-deviation, etc -- of course, you should look at the entire distribution of returns. There are issues of suitable benchmarks, universe comparisons, perfomance attribution, and sector analysis.There are problems with survivor bias, selective disclosure, closed accounts, incubating funds, etc.So, yeah, by itself the sharpe ratio tells you virtually nothing.Even after a lengthy 20 page performance analysis report, laboriously discussing all the items in my list above,you still can know very little if you don't know the details and the rationale of the strategy. Even if you know the details and the rationale of the strategy, how much was really luck? A good marketing staff can invent a good story that goes with anything. Welcome to the world of investment management!
Last edited by
Alan on March 12th, 2012, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.