May 3rd, 2012, 7:17 am
Hi there,I've got two questions on inflation modelling:1.) Market Data comes from ICAP, i.e. break even rates (zero coupon) and cap/floor (YoY) prices.Using the break even rates it's possible to derive approximations for the YoY rates by neglecting convexity adjustments. On the other side, one can use cap and floor prices for a given strike (1.5%) and apply put-call-parity in order to calculate implied YoY rates. Problem is, that the YoY rates computed with these two approaches, differ a lot, i.e. up to 15 basis points, which is imho too much.So, did I make a mistake here? Or is the market too illiquid, so that break even rates and cap/floor prices are out of sync?2.) Inflation model is Jarrow/Yildirim as described in Mercurios inflation paper (Mercurio's inflation paper).I try to fit the model to a chosen set of cap/floor (YoY) prices, for example caps and floors with strike 1.5% and maturity up to 15y. I'm not overly excited about the quality of the fit. And, in addition, calibration turns out to be a pain, since there are many local minima.Should I try to "harmonize" the market data (i.e. apply something like smoothing so that break even rates and cap/floor prices correspond to each other), in order to get a better calibration result? Would it be a good idea to work with another model instead of Jarrow/Yildirim?Thanks in advance!