October 2nd, 2012, 12:19 pm
it is very difficult to hedgethe peg can hold for a long time, until some day it doesn'tthe reason it breaks are not so easy to foresee (although they will seem obvious in retrospect, in the pages of The Economist magazine)for a non-pegged oil producer, the currency appreciates with the oil price I believe. By analogy, I might guess a sufficiently sharp fall in the oil price might break the peg. So short oil ?Shorting stocks and currencies of similarly situated countries that don't peg (oil producers, arab non-oil countries) might provide some protection in case of political or economic shocks.But I would not call it a real hedge...