November 30th, 2012, 3:54 am
Lets have two measures for the same process, please note different volatilitiesdS(t) = mu^P dt + sigma^P dW^PdS(t) = mu^Q dt + sigma^Q dW^QE^Q[S(1Y) ] = E^P[S(1Y) dQ/dP]where dQ/dP = sigma^P/sigma^Q [exp(-(w-mu^Q)^2/(2*(sigma^Q)^2)]/[exp(-(w-mu^P)^2/(2*(sigma^P)^2)]; ratio of two gaussian Prob densities.thus dQ/dP cannot be written as Radon Nikodym derivative form using exponentials dQ/dP != exp(-lambda^2/2+lambda w ), since there needs to be w^2 termDoes this mean these two measures are not equivalent? If so, I dont think it really fits into the usual definition of equivalent measures ( Pr^Q(A)=0 when Pr^P(A)=0), since these are continuous probability densities, which gives no zero or one probability.