September 27th, 2014, 8:30 am
OTC of course permits tweaking for specific customer requirements, this may be something as trivial as changing the dates for the cash flows, a little more complex like choosing the basket of instruments it references or something scary where tax law, complex modelling, faith based law like Sharia and compliance requirements are merged.This is of course also the highest margin quant work, so the banks quite naturally don't want to commoditise it by having a market.For an automated market to work easily you need fungibility, so a system can generate a price that applies to all N of the instruments in that segment.That's why the N>50 different bonds a large firm may have issued cannot be treated in one market segment, even if all their shares can.There is a whole pile of trading whose fundamental strategy is exploiting the price differences between nearly identical instruments and knowing when the "nearly" matters and when it does not.There is also the cost of building the market making system, you need a core and then the calculations and rules for each instrument. The marginal cost of implementing each is not vast, but it requires maintenance and if there isn't enough turnover then you don't get a positive return.As above, there would be a wide spread, so if you quoted X and Y, the customers would just ring in and ask for something between the quotes, so you'd end up paying for both an IT system and brokers/dealers.Also, these models are not exactly 100% reliable. They sometimes spit out prices and spreads that look reasonable enough to get through any sanity checks you might code, but the moment a grown up looks at them, they are obviously wrong. This can suck out as much money as you happen to have.That can be fixed, it is not impossible to make a model that you can let automate trading on it's own without supervision, but it is expensive and the more complex the product the higher the cost and the harder to be 100% sure that it won't do something bad.If the prices are "bad" you can be sure that there are people, some of whom are on Wilmott that will earn their bonus by biting you. I have been part of conversations where it was discussed how best to exploit such unfortunate pricing, do you grab a pile of cash now which will alert them to the problem, or do you trickle the money out until they fix it.