September 5th, 2015, 1:45 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: samudraLithium-ion batteries will drop from $550 per kilowatt hour (kWh) in 2014 to $200 per kWh by 2020Flow batteries have potential to be less expensive than Li-ion in few years.Solar power is doubling every 2 yrs. Ray Kurzwell thinks in 16 yrs we willbe all solar.So why does Buffet buy so much Philips?In long run how can it fulfill Buffet's famine ravished appetite for returns?10 yrs from now what will be break even for shale oil? Is shale oil what Buffet think?Or does he feel Oil at sub 40 for 2 + yrs and middle east goes for atoss ?So supply side constraint ..... price flare up ..... Offcourse crack spread advantage makes Philips good bet over Exxon Mobil etc etc in short term ....Lets say oil goes to 30-40 range .... what implication will it have on petchem/packaging ???? So do I go for proxy in packaging, specialized chem for multibaggers ???Or follow Buffet and go for a refiner with right crack spread ???I respect Kurzwell's vision. So I got some battery and it sizzles big time. Buffet has never failed in big investment.So who is right here? Or somehow both are right and I miss something big?from off-topicQuoteOriginally posted by: tagomaBuffett takes $4.48 billion stake in Phillips 66QuoteWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRKa.N) disclosed a $4.48 billion stake in oil refiner Phillips 66 (PSX.N), rebuilding a bet it had made in the energy industry before oil prices fell.(snip)Berkshire once held a large stake in the Houston-based company, but shed nearly two-thirds of it in February 2014 when it swapped $1.35 billion of shares for a chemicals business that it folded into its Lubrizol unit.Crude oil prices have since fallen by more than half, though Phillips 66's share price has dropped by less than 1 percent.it's a refiner rather than an extracter, and may actually benefit from low oil prices