FT poll of polls. May 3, 2016STAY 46%LEAVE 43%The level of Undecideds has fluctuated around 10% since September and according the to polls they looked at never seemed to top the low 20s.As most of you know, the vote will be on June 23.UK's EU Referendum - Financial Times May 8

Should I stay or should I go now? Should I stay or should I go now? If I go there will be trouble And if I stay it will be double So come on and let me know // hotel has complimentary FT?

QuoteOriginally posted by: Cuchulainn // hotel has complimentary FT?No, I've been a subscriber since 1995. Electronic edition too, these days.Just an ignorant American trying to understand the whole wide world out there...

QuoteOriginally posted by: trackstarQuoteOriginally posted by: Cuchulainn // hotel has complimentary FT?No, I've been a subscriber since 1995. Electronic edition too, these days.Just an ignorant American trying to understand the whole wide world out there... :DIt's just a much better newspaper than the obvious alternative(s). I know more than I really care to about British politics just because I find Janan Ganesh to be perhaps the most articulate commentator I have ever read on a regular basis. And their team of economics writers are better than most at analyzing current events through the (admittedly cloudy and occasionally distorting) lens of mainstream macro theory.

Of course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit.

QuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit.Well if that article is correct, then here is a little path-dependent scenario:1) The UK exits the EU and house prices fall, whilst mortgage rates rise.2) DTrump wins the US election by a shocking margin in November. 3) Then I will move to the UK and buy a house/apartment with cash.I explored London more deeply than ever last fall and the choice is between Bloomsbury Soho and Regent's Park. I know they are quite different, but I would be happy in either location and never mind the price of everything. I know the value of everything.

QuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?

QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?Taxes to be introduced during crises The standard rate of income tax, which was 6 per cent in 1914, stood at 30 per cent in 1918.

QuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?Taxes to be introduced during crises The standard rate of income tax, which was 6 per cent in 1914, stood at 30 per cent in 1918.Is Brexit a crisis?

QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?Taxes to be introduced during crises The standard rate of income tax, which was 6 per cent in 1914, stood at 30 per cent in 1918.Is Brexit a crisis?For Northern Ireland, yes.

QuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?Taxes to be introduced during crises The standard rate of income tax, which was 6 per cent in 1914, stood at 30 per cent in 1918.Is Brexit a crisis?For Northern Ireland, yes.Might that pervoke a NIrexit?

QuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?Taxes to be introduced during crises The standard rate of income tax, which was 6 per cent in 1914, stood at 30 per cent in 1918.Is Brexit a crisis?For Northern Ireland, yes.Might that pervoke a NIrexit?I bet over 50% would say "Good riddance".

QuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: CuchulainnQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaQuoteOriginally posted by: PaulQuoteOriginally posted by: katastrofaOf course we are leaving. Even the government agitates for Brexit."Chancellor says leaving the EU would lead to a (1) significant drop in property values and (2) rise in mortgage costs"(1) I.e. what they say is necessary for young people to afford to buy(2) Increased costs? Rather like all the recent increases in stamp dutyNot exactly the smartest chancellor in the room. Even a very small room.PHow quickly would all these EU taxes be repealed or would the government simply divert them to HRM's coffers?Taxes to be introduced during crises The standard rate of income tax, which was 6 per cent in 1914, stood at 30 per cent in 1918.Is Brexit a crisis?For Northern Ireland, yes.Might that pervoke a NIrexit?I bet over 50% would say "Good riddance".It certainly created some "troubles".

FT poll of polls starting to lean towards staying. But how accurate a reading on true public sentiment?May 25: 46% stay and 41% leave