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by Watchman
June 29th, 2009, 2:21 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: dividend swap pricing
Replies: 5
Views: 43713

dividend swap pricing

<t>empirically, div swaps tend to trade at a higher dividend than that implied by the forward for the corresponding maturity, which i have tended to assume is predominantly a taxation issue since the forward will (presumably) reflect the average tax position of the market whereas the div swap ignore...
by Watchman
May 24th, 2005, 4:57 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: IAS 39 / EITF
Replies: 1
Views: 147958

IAS 39 / EITF

At Watchman Towers we don't really apply a tolerance threshold, we reserve pretty much everything.I'm interested in what sort of stuff different houses regard as observable, and how they set about demonstrating observability - over here, its a painful process.
by Watchman
February 9th, 2005, 8:47 am
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: index for implied correlation
Replies: 1
Views: 160302

index for implied correlation

<t>There is no index for implied correlation that I know of - if there is I'd be very interested to learn of it.If you're looking at equities you can get some idea of implied correlations from options prices on the index and the index components, or from broker quotes for dispersion trades (index st...
by Watchman
December 22nd, 2004, 9:14 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Dividend Swap
Replies: 19
Views: 184611

Dividend Swap

<t>I expect you'll find it difficult to get decent prices for individual stock options beyond 3 years, so backing out the longer term divs from market data will be next to impossible.You'll have to fall back on estimating the divs beyond the point for which you get quotes, using some guesstimate of ...
by Watchman
September 30th, 2004, 3:10 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: options trading = legalized gambling ??
Replies: 6
Views: 174429

options trading = legalized gambling ??

isn't gambling legal anyway?
by Watchman
September 23rd, 2004, 9:44 am
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Sarbanes Oxley 404 - Corporate Governance
Replies: 8
Views: 176053

Sarbanes Oxley 404 - Corporate Governance

<t>It seems to me that SOX 404 is not a bad thing, and should be able to guard against many potential corporate problems; A SOX assessment would for example have identified that the controls in Barings were rubbish and prevented that sort of loss, or that there were problems with the Adecco accounti...
by Watchman
June 4th, 2004, 9:50 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: Quant Finance: Snake Oil
Replies: 20
Views: 193669

Quant Finance: Snake Oil

<t>I hesitate to respond to this, since I can only imagine the purpose of the post is to wind people up - why else join a quant finance forum and claim the quant skills are pointless? Nevertheless I might as well stick in my 2p worth:There are a number of posts in the other thread where the contribu...
by Watchman
May 26th, 2004, 2:45 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Dispersion trading via Var Swaps
Replies: 0
Views: 189569

Dispersion trading via Var Swaps

<t>Does anyone know the convention (assuming there is one) for quoting on a var swap dispersion trade - i.e. buying/selling the index var swap vs the opposite on te the component var swaps. For example, would the quote be the difference between the index var swap strike and the vega weighted average...
by Watchman
May 13th, 2004, 8:18 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Cliquet Options - Is there a convention for applying the forward skew adjustment?
Replies: 0
Views: 189747

Cliquet Options - Is there a convention for applying the forward skew adjustment?

<t>Taking, for example, a cliquet call spread we all know that deriving a skew from the vanilla vol surface will give too low a forward skew, in which case we need to apply some kind of correction. Is there a convention in how this correction is regarded, for example:- applying X% of the spot skew a...
by Watchman
May 13th, 2004, 7:16 am
Forum: Technical Forum
Topic: Dividend problem?
Replies: 5
Views: 190292

Dividend problem?

if you've got enough prices, back out the divs from the calls and puts. If not, I don't think there is a definitive solution. You'll have to make some assumptions, potentially trying a few different scenarios with respect to how the dividends might grow (or not) over the next few years.
by Watchman
May 6th, 2004, 3:37 pm
Forum: Student Forum
Topic: illiquidty
Replies: 2
Views: 189468

illiquidty

<t>Illiquidity is a big problem if you are a forced seller (or buyer for that matter) - if you are in for the long haul then it is less of a concern.LTCM's problems were largely blamed on a lack of liquidity, although it seems to me that lack of liquidity is something people often blame when the pri...
by Watchman
April 30th, 2004, 4:26 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: quant vs structurer
Replies: 4
Views: 190375

quant vs structurer

I'd say the structurer is the architect to the quants' structural engineer and marketer/salesman's interior designer.
by Watchman
April 30th, 2004, 3:15 pm
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: quant vs structurer
Replies: 4
Views: 190375

quant vs structurer

<t>depends on your institution I expect.At Watchman Towers, the structurers are somewhere between quants and marketers - whilst they don't interact directly with clients, they need to understand client requirements and how to meet them in addition to a detailed understading of the products. Somethin...
by Watchman
April 29th, 2004, 11:02 am
Forum: Careers Forum
Topic: what happens to quants as they get older?
Replies: 13
Views: 192031

what happens to quants as they get older?

quants don't die..they just decline in numbers.
by Watchman
April 27th, 2004, 12:48 pm
Forum: General Forum
Topic: Stock Quanto Levels
Replies: 2
Views: 189595

Stock Quanto Levels

<t>How do practitioners generally mark their single stock quanto levels? Index quantos, at least on the main index/fx pairings, are relatively liquid and have broker quotes aplenty, but so far as I am aware the same is not true for individual names.I could look at historic equity/fx correlations, or...